Thursday, December 17, 2009

Week 15 Preview ...

With a spot in the Phat Bowl on the line, Da Schwam previews this weekend's matchups ...

(1) Mad Dog vs. (5) Demmelitions - According the Yahoo! Matchup Projections, this should be a very close weekend ... QBs - Demmel's duo of Brady & Rodgers rules over all. Stafford could be a QB2 for Mad Dog this weekend, if healthy. Otherwise, Murph's choice of starting Garrard & Cassel seem to be right on ... WRs - Edge goes to Demmel here, starting two elite receivers (Wayne & Andre Johnson) and Hakeem Nicks (who is on quite a hot-streak the past month). Mad Dog's trio is still pretty good with Rice, DeSean, & Randy Moss. These 3 have the upside to make this weekend very exciting ... RBs - Like the receivers, I give Demmel the edge here, but again, Mad Dog is a very close second. Demmel is starting Thomas Jones & Addai, while Murphy has Moreno & Jacobs ... SpT - How funny is it that Demmel has two Kickers on his roster, yet both are injured! Since Demmel is a K down, I will give this category to Mad Dog with Miller, Akers, & NE D ... SCHWAMI SAYZ DEMMELITIONS IN THE UPSET!!!

(2) Ramshafts Raiders vs. (3) J$ - This is a true "Clash of the Titans" ... McNabb & Peyton vs. AP & CJ!!! ... QBs - Edge Raiders with Peyton & McNabb (over J$'s Cutler & Alex Smith) ... WRs - In what appears to be the wildcard in this matchup, how each team's receivers do this week may go a long way in determining who makes it to the Phat Bowl. Da Schwam does not think too highly of either trio. Wes has the more consistent corp (with Manningham, Chambers, & Visanthe), while Jilbert has more upside (with Roddy, Jennings, & Santana Moss). I'm gonna call this one even ... RBs - Edge J$ with AP & CJ over whichever 2 players Wes decides to start this Sunday. I'm not sure about leaving DeAngelo on the bench, in favor of Grant ... SpT - I will give Wes a slight edge here with a better TE (Celek) than Jilbert (Winslow) ... SCHWAMI SAYZ RAMSHAFTS RAIDERS IN THE PHAT BOWL (again ...?!?!)!!!

Good luck to all fantasy owners ...

Tha Commish

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

... And the Division Championships are set!

Da Schwam went 1-1 this past week ... Gellis ends up losing by a mere 2pts., while Chad failed to mount a comeback last night as his remaining duo of Warner & Hightower combined for -2pts.

Gellis was so close to pulling out the "W" last night. He needed to overcome a 16pt deficit heading into MNF (with Fitzgerald/Gore vs. Alex Smith) ... Gore got the big game he needed (24pts), but the entire ARZ O stalled last night, which left Fitzy with a measly 2pts. The only ARZ player that did anything was Beanie Wells.

The horrid ARZ O also hurt the SoCal Strikers hopes ... Chad needed a big game from the Cards' O last night (as Chad had a 27pt deficit to overcome) and WOW, did Warner and the boys not deliver! With Warner & Hightower combining for -2pts., Demmel actually increased his lead with Rackers measly 3pts.

Da Schwamz stats after Week 14 ... ESPN Pigskin Pick 'Em 118-90 ... ESPN Eliminator Challenge 13-1 (Lost KC upset over PIT in Week 11) ... Yahoo! FFL Picks 28-22

And now, the NDHFFL Division Championships (Week 15) are set ...

(1) Mad Dog vs. (5) Demmelitions

(2) Ramshafts Raiders vs. (3) J$

Who will make it to the Phat Bowl?

Tha Commish

Monday, December 14, 2009

Pre-MNF Wildcard Weekend Update ...

With the ARZ @ SF game still to be played, the Week 14 playoff picture is starting to take shape ...

Going into tonight's game, Jilbert holds a 16pt lead over Gellis ... J$ has Alex Smith playing vs. Gellis's remaining duo of Fitzgerald & Gore ... Gellis is still very much in this game.

In the other wildcard matchup, Demmel may have 27pt lead over Chad's Strikers, but this match is anything but over ... Chad has Warner & Hightower tonight, while Demmel has Rackers ... Chad is still very much in this game, as well.

MNF will be an interesting game to watch with the fantasy playoffs on the line ...

Tha Commish

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

NDHFFL Playoffs - Wildcard Weekend

With Mad Dog & the Raiders on a Bye, it's time for Da Schwam to preview the pair of Wildcard matchups in Week 14 ... Da Schwamz record has been respectable all season (109-83 against the spread in ESPN Pick 'Em & 27-21 in Yahoo! FFL Picks)


(3) J$ vs. (6) Gellis -- QBs - Gotta give the edge to Gellis here. Favre is an elite option this season, while Hasselbeck is a better option (@HOU) over Orton (@IND). Jilbert's duo of Cutler & Alex Smith could go off. If they do, Jilbert could score 150 this weekend and Gellis will be in trouble; WRs - J$'s Roddy, Jennings, & Santana vs. Gellis's Fitzgerald, MSW, & Steve "Big City" Smith ... Gotta go to Gellis here. Larry Fitzgerald is quality and MSW should go off this weekend (he was a dud last weekend); RBs - CJ & AP ... No question! CJ is @STL, to boot! I'm a bit surprised Gellis is starting Gore this weekend over Benson. I mean Gore has been a dud, since the Niners went to a Spread O; SpT - Gellis gets the checkmark with Witten being a big advantage over Jilbert's Winslow. (Gellis) Hartley & TEN D is even with (J$) Gostkowski & PIT D ... SCHWAMI SAYZ GELLIS IN WEEK 14!!!


(4) SoCal Strikers vs. (5) Demmelitions -- In the previous 2 matchups between these fantasy rivals, Chad had won each contest by over 25pts. Can Chad make it a clean sweep? Possibly, but you can't count out Demmel with Brady & Rodgers ... QBs - With Brady & Rodgers, Demmel definitely gets the edge here. I think the Strikers will start Warner, but QB2 (either Big Ben or Eli) may end up being a crucial fantasy decision this weekend; WRs -Again, gotta go with the quality of Demmel's trio of Andre Johnson, Wayne, & Driver over Chad's starters. Although Chad does have a shot with a redhot Meachem, picking your poison with the Chargers receivers (Gates or Vincent Jackson), and Mason playing DET at home; RBs - Demmel gets the checkmark in the backfield with Thomas Jones & Addai, but Chad could make it a game if he picks the right RB2 (Forte, Stewart, or Hightower) to start alongside Ricky this weekend; SpT - Demmel for the sweep with Miller, Rackers, and GB D. The Strikers have a higher quality TE in Gonzo, and just about all fantasy kickers are created equal, but I do not like Chad starting the DEN D (@IND) in Week 14. I would take either D in the WAS @ OAK matchup over DEN this weekend ... SCHWAMI SAYZ DEMMELITIONS FOR THE WIN!!! (Third time's a charm, right ...)

That's all I got for now ... Enjoy the excitement of the fantasy playoffs!

Tha Commish


Monday, December 7, 2009

Looking back at the Final Weekend 'N Da Hood ...

So lets break down this weekend's action into the 2 most important aspects ...

Division Championships ...

Wes has been in Colts-mode for the better-part of the past 2 weekends, since locking up the Northend Division crown in Week 11 ... As for the Southside crown, it appears to come down to Ray Rice tonight. Gellis needs 37pts from Rice to secure the division title. In the event of a tie or a Mad Dog victory, Murphy would win his franchise's first division crown.

Playoff Picture ...

Raiders have earned a Bye in Week 14, but if Wes loses this weekend, he could see himself slip to #2 in the rankings, as the winner of the Mad Dog-Gellis matchup would end up being the #1 seed (by overall points tiebreaker).

As for Mad Dog & Gellis, I have already mentioned their position ... Win and they are the division champs & earn a bye next weekend.

Demmel still has 3 players tonight (Rodgers, Driver, & GB D), so a 53pt deficit is not out of the question to overcome ... If Demmel wins tonight, he is the #3 seed ... A loss, 6th place (probably).

The Strikers look to be cruising to a Week 13 "W", which would mean that Chad's final playoff position will be determined by the results of the Demmelitions ... If Demmel loses, Chad would end up in 5th place ... If Demmel were to pull-out the victory, then Chad would end up in 6th place.

With a 2pt. lead & Jennings playing tonight, it appears that J$ has all but locked up his seat in the playoffs. Assuming Jilbert wins this weekend, then he will end up either 4th or 5th place, depending on the outcome of Chad's matchup, as well as Demmel's.

Things don't look good for Snapp ... He needed either Chad or J$ to lose this weekend, as well as overcome a huge point deficit. Snapp still has Flacco & Crosby playing tonight, so in the end, Snapp may end up getting close in points, but will be a 1-game off.

REALLY ME ... REALLY???!?!?! Once I am mathematically out of the playoffs, I score 125pts+ a week and go 3-0 ... SWEET!!!

Felicia ends the season respectably ... Just not the Year of La Chica.

As for Burton, I really wish he woulda at least started active players in his lineup ... You don't need to go and pickup players, but at least start the ones who are active on Week 13 rosters (i.e. Vick & Jackson for Bulger & Westbrook this weekend). That woulda made the matchup with Jilbert that much more exciting.

Good luck to all and we will start talking playoffs tomorrow ...

Tha Commish

Thursday, December 3, 2009

NDHFFL Week 13 Preview

With the start of final regular season weekend about to start, Da Schwam needs to get his picks in now ...

Da Gun vs. Demmelitions - I think Demmel is a huge favorite on paper, but with nothing to lose, my squad can beat anyone on any given Sunday ... NO PICK!

Snapp Attack vs. Phockers - Snapp needs PTs this weekend to have any chance at the playoffs ... And he may need 150+pts to get a "W" over a stacked Phockers lineup ... Rivers/LT/SD D @CLE, Schaub @JAX, Ward v.OAK, and Frenchy @WAS ... SCHWAMI SAYZ SNAPPER (in a fantasy shootout to end the regular season)!

J$ vs. Burtonics - Do I need to even pick a winner in this one (since both are losers ... :P) ... I am even willing make a sidebet with Burton that AP/CJ/Cutler will outscore his entire starting lineup this weekend ... SCHWAMI SAYZ J$!

Mad Dog vs. Gellis - This is for the Division Championship (and a Week 14 Bye)! I think this may be the matchup of the week ... QBs favor Gellis; WRs favor Murphy; RBs are even; and SpT are pretty even ... I think this match could be decided by some critical GTD ... Should Mad Dog start NE or NO D? Will Tynes be kicking for Big Blue this weekend? Which WRs & RBs will Gellis start? ... SCHWAMI SAYZ GELLIS!

Strikers vs. Raiders - I think Chad's growing IR List (Warner, Big Ben, Eli, CAR QB, Stewart, etc.) will be his downfall this week. He just doesn't appear to have enough firepower to overcome a Raiders squad at full-strength ... SCHWAMI SAYZ RAMSHAFTS RAIDERS!

Enjoy the game tonight! ... From Toronto, eh!!!

Tha Commish

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

In the Homestretch ...

With the playoffs less than 2 weeks away, it's time for Da Schwam to take stock of the league ...

This FFL season has been very much "up & down" for me ... While I will finish the NDHFFL season in 8th place, I have locked-up 2nd place in my work-league, and will be fighting for the regular season title in yet another FFL league ... I was knocked-out of my Eliminator League in Week 11, when KC upset PIT ... As for my Pick 'Em League this season, I am currently in the 98th percentile (100-76 vs. the Spread) ... As for Da Schwamz Fantasy Picks this season, I have been rather ordinary (25-19 overall).


As for the Week 12 fantasy matchups ...

Da Gun destroys Mad Dog (154-89) -- It's not me that's good ... It's Brees! He's good!

Snapp crushes Burtonics (120-70) -- No big surprise here ... I mean Burton started Westbrook & Bulger who were known to be out this weekend on the Friday before.

J$ defeats Raiders (114-97) -- Jilbert has a tough team to beat when AP & CJ both start racking up the pts.

Demmelitions end Phockers' Playoff Hopes (119-101) -- Felicia had a chance, but the lack of production by her receivers killed her.

Gellis defeats Strikers (99-89) -- If Chad had picked up & started Leinart this weekend, Chad woulda won ... But he didn't and the Strikers lost.


Here is my fantasy outlook as the final regular season weekend approaches ...

1) Ramshafts Raiders (9-3) - With Mad Dog's loss in Week 12 (... Thanks Ebo! From Wes), Wes clinched a first-round Bye. If he wins in Week 13 (v. SoCal Strikers), Wes will clinch the #1 overall seed.

2) Mad Dog (8-4) - Murph will clinch a first-round Bye with a win this weekend (v. Gellis). If he loses, the Southside Division race gets very interesting with 3 teams trailing at 7-5.

3) Demmelitions (7-5) - Demmel is actually locked-out of getting a top-2 seed in the playoffs because of the Mad Dog vs. Gellis matchup ... If Demmel wins this weekend, he will probably lockup the #3 seed. With a loss, Demmel could fall to the 5th or 6th spot.

4) Gellis (7-5) - This Week 13 matchup is for the division title and $100 cash money!!! If Gellis wins this weekend, he will be the Southside Division Champ (since he ends up with more pts. than Chad and better division records than Murph or Demmel).

5) J$ (7-5) - Mathematically, Jilbert could end up with the 3rd seed with a "W" this weekend (he would need Demmel, Gellis, and Chad to lose) ... In actuality, win or lose, Jilbert will probably end up as the 4th or 5th seed, depending on the outcomes of the other 7-5 teams.

6) SoCal Strikers (7-5) - Chad needs to win this weekend to guarantee his playoff birth. If he loses, that will open up the door for Snapp to make the playoffs.

7) Snapp Attack (6-6) - Snapp needs to win and for Chad to lose this weekend to even have a shot at the playoffs ... It may be a long shot, but anything is possible! Remember the US team at the Confed Cup earlier this year.

8) Da Gun (4-8) - I'm all about ruining playoff dreams right now ... Gellis - CHECK! ... Mad Dog - CHECK! ... Next Up - Demmel.

9) Phockers (4-8) - Snapp needs major pts this week and La Chica is looking to put up a big number this weekend (Rivers/LT @ CLE, Schaub @ JAX, etc.).

10) Burtonics (1-11) - Maybe I should just give the "W" to Jilbert now ...


That's all I got for now ... I'll preview the Week 13 matchups tomorrow.

Tha Commish